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Red56
548424.2
911910.7
386517.6
Blue68
46142.7
492625.3
217114.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67740501001502005668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+24
Endgame+26
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
6Coral scored#12
21Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
29Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
14Foul points0
56Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#23
24.23.1
31.628.5
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End0.4
blue by 18.5
461
#4
42.70.2
34.534.3
Auto9.8
Teleop29.6
End3.3
Second
17.63.1
16.513.4
Auto2.4
Teleop13.1
End2.1
blue by 7.7
4926
#22
25.30.2
19.419.2
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End1.3
Third
9119
#32
10.73.1
10.06.9
Auto1.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
blue by 3.7
2171
#17
14.30.2
9.99.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed