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Red59
82925.5
286718.1
314712.7
Blue53
219719.1
1033218.1
953010.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8338020601001201405953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
6Coral scored#6
23Coral points21
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
35Total teleop29
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
12Foul points6
59Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#5
25.52.0
28.126.1
Auto4.6
Teleop18.5
End2.4
red by 6.5
2197
#15
19.11.1
19.120.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Second
2867
#26
18.12.0
19.617.6
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Level
18.11.1
11.312.3
Auto6.5
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Third
3147
#29
12.72.0
17.115.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.5
red by 2.6
9530
#27
10.11.1
7.08.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed