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Red74
74776.9
745753.0
1041116.2
Blue34
155511.1
810312.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68530204060801001207434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+42Teleop
+54Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +45
11Coral scored#2
41Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
55Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#4
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points14
74Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.01.7
37.339.0
Auto10.3
Teleop32.5
End10.1
red by 41.0
8103
#19
12.02.9
19.917.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Second
16.21.7
12.213.9
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.1
red by 5.1
1555
#25
11.12.9
16.113.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Third
7477
#20
6.91.7
9.110.8
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.8
Level
6.92.9
9.97.0
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed