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Red130
501035.7
150149.5
217114.3
Blue110
1043417.1
46142.7
911910.7
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98560204080120140130110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+28Teleop
+26Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave3
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points6
37Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
20Coral scored#19
71Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
89Total teleop89
Reef
11L4#9
5L3#4
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points6
130Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.53.2
40.243.5
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 6.8
461
#4
42.73.6
34.337.9
Auto9.8
Teleop29.6
End3.3
Second
35.73.2
28.932.1
Auto6.6
Teleop27.2
End1.9
red by 18.6
17.13.6
9.813.4
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.5
Third
2171
#17
14.33.2
9.712.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.0
red by 3.7
9119
#32
10.73.6
6.910.4
Auto1.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed