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Red27
1041116.2
4521.8
Blue38
1017211.4
393613.5
74776.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614602040801002738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
3Coral scored#4
12Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
12Total teleop17
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
27Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#8
21.82.8
26.523.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End3.1
red by 8.3
3936
#16
13.51.3
12.411.2
Auto1.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
Second
16.22.8
13.911.1
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.1
red by 4.8
11.41.3
14.313.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Third
6.92.8
7.04.2
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0
Level
7477
#20
6.91.3
10.89.5
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed