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Red25
44719.5
810312.0
94539.0
Blue33
1033218.1
843111.7
155511.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40410102030506070802533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
4Coral scored#4
15Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
15Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
25Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#18
19.51.8
12.410.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.5
red by 1.4
18.10.4
12.311.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Second
8103
#19
12.01.8
17.115.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.9
red by 0.3
8431
#14
11.70.4
8.78.3
Auto2.0
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Third
9453
#30
9.01.8
9.07.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.3
blue by 2.1
1555
#25
11.10.4
13.212.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed