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Red93
95549.8
286718.1
745753.0
Blue39
953010.1
102430.0
314712.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745502040801001209339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+38Teleop
+46Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
52Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
8Foul points0
93Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.02.0
39.041.1
Auto10.3
Teleop32.5
End10.1
red by 23.0
1024
#11
30.01.4
28.827.4
Auto4.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
Second
2867
#26
18.12.0
17.619.6
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End2.5
red by 5.4
3147
#29
12.71.4
15.213.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.5
Third
9554
#31
9.82.0
10.112.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 0.3
9530
#27
10.11.4
8.16.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed