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Red22
943115.5
16468.7
672118.5
Blue44
317618.9
1043417.1
386517.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49470204060801002244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+14
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
3Coral scored#5
10Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
10Total teleop21
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
22Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.52.3
15.413.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
blue by 0.4
3176
#10
18.90.3
14.615.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End6.8
Second
9431
#34
15.52.3
14.211.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
blue by 2.0
17.60.3
13.013.3
Auto2.4
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Third
1646
#36
8.72.3
12.910.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.4
blue by 8.4
17.10.3
13.413.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned