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Red82
393613.5
13524.9
Blue73
217114.3
74776.9
32825.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3956020801001208273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
57Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
10Foul points12
82Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#3
24.92.2
15.918.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End4.6
blue by 0.9
328
#13
25.90.7
20.519.8
Auto3.1
Teleop21.2
End1.6
Second
3936
#16
13.52.2
11.213.4
Auto1.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
blue by 0.8
2171
#17
14.30.7
12.912.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.0
Third
6.92.2
4.26.4
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0
Level
7477
#20
6.90.7
9.58.9
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned