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Qual 272025 FIN District Mishawaka Event
Red75
1033218.1
1041116.2
150149.5
Blue102
44719.5
501035.7
46142.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions769920406012014016075102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+27
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +23
8Coral scored#12
28Coral points43
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
6Processor points18
16Net points12
22Algae points30
50Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
75Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#2
49.50.6
43.5→44.1
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 6.8
461
#4
42.72.4
37.9→40.2
Auto9.8
Teleop29.6
End3.3
Second
10332
#12
18.10.6
11.9→12.5
Auto6.5
Teleop9.2
End2.5
blue by 17.6
5010
#6
35.72.4
32.1→34.5
Auto6.6
Teleop27.2
End1.9
Third
10411
#33
16.20.6
11.1→11.7
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 3.4
447
#18
19.52.4
10.6→12.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed