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Red52
4521.8
548424.2
314712.7
Blue60
953010.1
492625.3
286718.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73500204060801001205260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+8
Endgame+20
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +7
5Coral scored#4
18Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
18Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
18Foul points6
52Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#23
24.23.1
24.321.3
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End0.4
blue by 1.1
4926
#22
25.31.0
19.120.1
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End1.3
Second
45
#8
21.83.1
23.620.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End3.1
red by 3.7
2867
#26
18.11.0
19.620.6
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Third
3147
#29
12.73.1
13.710.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.5
red by 2.6
9530
#27
10.11.0
6.67.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned