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Red65
219719.1
102430.0
843111.7
Blue33
95549.8
1017211.4
810312.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694402060801001206533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
8Coral scored#2
30Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
0Processor points0
16Net points4
16Algae points4
46Total teleop12
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points6
65Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#11
30.01.0
27.428.4
Auto4.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
red by 18.0
8103
#19
12.01.5
15.213.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Second
2197
#15
19.11.0
20.121.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.8
red by 7.7
11.41.5
13.011.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Third
8431
#14
11.71.0
8.39.3
Auto2.0
Teleop7.3
End2.3
red by 1.9
9554
#31
9.81.5
12.110.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed