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Red97
150149.5
317618.9
16468.7
Blue26
1033218.1
943115.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions862802040601001201409726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+55Teleop
+65Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
9Coral scored#1
31Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
41Total teleop4
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#3
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
12Foul points6
97Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.51.7
44.145.8
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 31.4
18.11.2
12.511.3
Auto6.5
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Second
3176
#10
18.91.7
15.016.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End6.8
red by 3.3
9431
#34
15.51.2
11.910.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Third
1646
#36DQ
8.71.7
10.612.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.4
red by 1.8
6.91.2
6.45.2
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed