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Red54
219719.1
82925.5
1017211.4
Blue35
843111.7
286718.1
217114.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795102040601001205435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +6
4Coral scored#4
16Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
26Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
12Foul points6
54Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#5
25.52.3
27.425.1
Auto4.6
Teleop18.5
End2.4
red by 7.4
2867
#26
18.11.8
20.618.8
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Second
2197
#15
19.12.3
21.118.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.8
red by 4.8
2171
#17
14.31.8
12.310.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.0
Third
11.42.3
11.59.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End1.7
blue by 0.3
8431
#14
11.71.8
9.37.6
Auto2.0
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed