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Red99
4521.8
745753.0
501035.7
Blue71
810312.0
102430.0
386517.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1185401001509971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
22Coral points3
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
63Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points8
99Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.1
43.143.2
Auto10.3
Teleop32.5
End10.1
red by 23.0
1024
#11
30.00.8
28.429.2
Auto4.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
Second
35.70.1
34.534.6
Auto6.6
Teleop27.2
End1.9
red by 18.2
17.60.8
13.314.2
Auto2.4
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Third
45
#8
21.80.1
20.520.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End3.1
red by 9.8
8103
#19
12.00.8
13.714.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned