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Red104
32825.9
492625.3
1041116.2
Blue118
150149.5
13524.9
94539.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5995204080120140104118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+4
Endgame+2
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
18Coral scored#15
65Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
89Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#8
7L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points12
104Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
328
#13
25.92.5
19.822.2
Auto3.1
Teleop21.2
End1.6
blue by 23.6
49.51.0
45.846.8
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End5.4
Second
4926
#22
25.32.5
19.421.9
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End1.3
red by 0.3
135
#3
24.91.0
19.420.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End4.6
Third
16.22.5
10.012.5
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.1
red by 7.1
9453
#30
9.01.0
7.58.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsMissed