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Red44
82925.5
843111.7
548424.2
Blue34
16468.7
95549.8
1043417.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6539020801001204434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
5Coral scored#4
17Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
25Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
44Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#5
25.51.2
25.123.8
Auto4.6
Teleop18.5
End2.4
red by 8.4
17.10.1
13.112.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.5
Second
5484
#23
24.21.2
22.321.1
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End0.4
red by 14.4
9554
#31
9.80.1
10.09.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Third
8431
#14
11.71.2
7.66.3
Auto2.0
Teleop7.3
End2.3
red by 3.0
1646
#36
8.70.1
12.312.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed