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Red68
217114.3
4521.8
317618.9
Blue17
286718.1
911910.7
810312.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595002040801001201406817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+39Teleop
+39Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +36
7Coral scored#2
25Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
43Total teleop7
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#0
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
12Foul points0
68Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#8
21.80.6
20.621.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End3.1
red by 3.7
2867
#26
18.12.9
18.816.0
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Second
3176
#10
18.90.6
16.717.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End6.8
red by 6.9
8103
#19
12.02.9
14.611.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Third
2171
#17
14.30.6
10.511.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.0
red by 3.7
9119
#32
10.72.9
9.36.5
Auto1.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed