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Red86
672118.5
314712.7
745753.0
Blue59
393613.5
943115.5
501035.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74662040601001208659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+15Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#10
34Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
48Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
86Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.01.8
43.245.0
Auto10.3
Teleop32.5
End10.1
red by 17.2
35.70.2
34.634.4
Auto6.6
Teleop27.2
End1.9
Second
18.51.8
14.115.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
red by 2.9
9431
#34
15.50.2
10.710.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Third
3147
#29
12.71.8
10.011.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.5
blue by 0.8
3936
#16
13.50.2
12.712.5
Auto1.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed