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Red48
150149.5
95549.8
953010.1
Blue28
74776.9
16468.7
94539.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions753002040601001204828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
5Coral scored#3
19Coral points9
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
33Total teleop15
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
48Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.51.8
46.845.0
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 40.5
9453
#30
9.00.3
8.58.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.3
Second
9530
#27
10.11.8
8.66.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End1.6
red by 1.4
1646
#36
8.70.3
12.211.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Third
9554
#31
9.81.8
9.88.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End0.9
red by 2.9
7477
#20
6.90.3
10.29.9
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed