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Red51
155511.1
219719.1
907113.1
Blue77
386517.6
82925.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5255203040607080905177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+14
Fouls+26
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#13
22Coral points46
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
36Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points12
51Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2197
#15
19.10.4
18.418.8
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.8
blue by 6.5
829
#5
25.51.7
23.825.5
Auto4.6
Teleop18.5
End2.4
Second
9071
#28
13.10.4
12.012.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End0.5
blue by 4.4
17.61.7
13.715.4
Auto2.4
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Third
1555
#25
11.10.4
11.612.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
red by 4.2
6.91.7
5.26.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsMissed