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Red79
46142.7
810312.0
4521.8
Blue77
1033218.1
44719.5
492625.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91500204060801001201407977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +5
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
49Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
79Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#4
42.70.0
43.143.1
Auto9.8
Teleop29.6
End3.3
red by 17.4
4926
#22
25.32.8
21.924.7
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End1.3
Second
45
#8
21.80.0
21.221.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End3.1
red by 2.2
447
#18
19.52.8
12.515.3
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.5
Third
8103
#19
12.00.0
11.711.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.9
blue by 6.1
18.12.8
12.815.6
Auto6.5
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed