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Red97
314712.7
393613.5
32825.9
Blue81
1017211.4
672118.5
911910.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724502060801001209781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+22Teleop
+18Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
16Coral scored#14
56Coral points50
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
86Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#7
6L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points2
97Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
328
#13
25.91.6
22.223.9
Auto3.1
Teleop21.2
End1.6
red by 7.4
18.51.8
15.917.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
Second
3936
#16
13.51.6
12.514.1
Auto1.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
red by 2.1
11.41.8
6.68.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Third
3147
#29
12.71.6
11.813.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.5
red by 2.0
9119
#32
10.71.8
6.58.3
Auto1.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed