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Red117
102430.0
317618.9
501035.7
Blue98
548424.2
217114.3
745753.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868305010015020025011798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+1
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +12
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points19
13Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +11
17Coral scored#11
62Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
80Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#5
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
117Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.74.0
34.438.4
Auto6.6
Teleop27.2
End1.9
blue by 17.2
53.02.2
45.047.1
Auto10.3
Teleop32.5
End10.1
Second
1024
#11
30.04.0
26.730.7
Auto4.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
red by 5.8
5484
#23
24.22.2
21.123.2
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End0.4
Third
3176
#10
18.94.0
17.321.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End6.8
red by 4.6
2171
#17
14.32.2
11.113.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed