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Red70
943115.5
386517.6
13524.9
Blue61
911910.7
16468.7
1033218.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674202060801001201407061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points21
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
0Processor points0
8Net points12
8Algae points12
51Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points12
70Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#3
24.91.4
24.726.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End4.6
red by 6.8
18.10.3
16.716.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Second
17.61.4
16.417.8
Auto2.4
Teleop13.1
End2.1
red by 6.9
9119
#32
10.70.3
9.39.6
Auto1.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Third
9431
#34
15.51.4
13.514.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
red by 6.9
1646
#36
8.70.3
10.711.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed