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Red89
155511.1
95549.8
46142.7
Blue74
501035.7
219719.1
41%Model gave it59%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69705560657580858974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
8Coral scored#8
28Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
38Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
24Foul points12
89Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#4
42.70.2
41.942.1
Auto9.8
Teleop29.6
End3.3
red by 7.0
35.70.2
39.138.9
Auto6.6
Teleop27.2
End1.9
Second
1555
#25
11.10.2
11.812.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
blue by 8.0
2197
#15
19.10.2
19.819.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Third
9554
#31
9.80.2
9.19.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End0.9
red by 2.9
6.90.2
5.75.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned