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Red29
74776.9
314712.7
317618.9
Blue38
94539.0
4521.8
843111.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4646303540502938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+19
Endgame+7
Fouls+9
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
2Coral scored#6
6Coral points21
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
6Total teleop25
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points2
29Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3176
#10
18.91.4
20.719.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End6.8
blue by 2.9
45
#8
21.80.6
22.321.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End3.1
Second
3147
#29
12.71.4
14.413.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.5
red by 1.0
8431
#14
11.70.6
11.711.0
Auto2.0
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Third
7477
#20
6.91.4
9.78.3
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.8
blue by 2.1
9453
#30
9.00.6
9.38.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed