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Red97
907113.1
548424.2
1017211.4
Blue132
810312.0
32825.9
745753.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53105020408012014016097132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +21
12Coral scored#23
42Coral points81
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
84Total teleop105
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#6
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
97Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#23
24.21.9
24.025.8
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End0.4
blue by 28.8
53.01.6
47.148.7
Auto10.3
Teleop32.5
End10.1
Second
9071
#28
13.11.9
11.713.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End0.5
blue by 12.7
328
#13
25.91.6
23.224.7
Auto3.1
Teleop21.2
End1.6
Third
11.41.9
7.99.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End1.7
blue by 0.6
8103
#19
12.01.6
11.112.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned