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Red104
217114.3
1041116.2
102430.0
Blue61
82925.5
953010.1
1043417.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7155020408010012014016010461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+5Teleop
+13Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +7
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points20
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
47Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
30Foul points0
104Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#11
30.01.4
30.031.3
Auto4.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
red by 4.5
829
#5
25.51.1
25.526.6
Auto4.6
Teleop18.5
End2.4
Second
16.21.4
15.216.5
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 1.0
17.11.1
14.615.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.5
Third
2171
#17
14.31.4
13.414.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.0
red by 4.2
9530
#27
10.11.1
9.010.0
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed