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Red73
501035.7
911910.7
74776.9
Blue71
943115.5
219719.1
317618.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70612040801001207371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+16Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +13
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
62Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
73Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.1
38.938.8
Auto6.6
Teleop27.2
End1.9
red by 16.6
2197
#15
19.10.1
19.619.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Second
9119
#32
10.70.1
9.69.5
Auto1.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
blue by 8.2
3176
#10
18.90.1
19.319.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End6.8
Third
7477
#20
6.90.1
8.38.1
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.8
blue by 8.7
9431
#34
15.50.1
14.914.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned