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Red111
1043417.1
745753.0
44719.5
Blue57
492625.3
1017211.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10044015011157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+38Teleop
+60Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#6
45Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
0Processor points6
16Net points12
16Algae points18
61Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#2
6L3#2
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#11
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points6
111Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.01.7
48.750.3
Auto10.3
Teleop32.5
End10.1
red by 27.7
4926
#22
25.30.2
24.324.5
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End1.3
Second
447
#18
19.51.7
17.819.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.5
red by 8.2
11.40.2
9.810.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Third
17.11.7
15.617.3
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.5
red by 10.2
6.90.2
5.55.7
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned