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Red41
953010.1
217114.3
16468.7
Blue39
314712.7
1041116.2
907113.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395102060801004139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
28Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
41Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2171
#17
14.30.4
14.715.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.0
blue by 1.8
16.20.3
16.516.2
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Second
9530
#27
10.10.4
10.010.4
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 3.0
9071
#28
13.10.3
13.613.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End0.5
Third
1646
#36
8.70.4
11.011.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.4
blue by 4.0
3147
#29
12.70.3
13.012.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed