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Red80
46142.7
317618.9
672118.5
Blue35
219719.1
4521.8
74776.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965001508035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+37Teleop
+47Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
11Coral scored#3
40Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
48Total teleop15
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points2
80Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#4
42.70.1
43.743.6
Auto9.8
Teleop29.6
End3.3
red by 20.9
45
#8
21.81.2
22.220.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End3.1
Second
3176
#10
18.90.1
19.219.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End6.8
blue by 0.2
2197
#15
19.11.2
19.518.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Third
18.50.1
18.618.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
red by 11.6
7477
#20
6.91.2
8.16.9
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed