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Red76
32825.9
1043417.1
1033218.1
Blue73
286718.1
155511.1
548424.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8278506070901001101207673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+5Teleop
+9Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +1
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
58Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points6
76Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
328
#13
25.90.2
26.326.1
Auto3.1
Teleop21.2
End1.6
red by 1.7
5484
#23
24.20.5
27.426.9
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End0.4
Second
18.10.2
17.116.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Level
2867
#26
18.10.5
18.718.1
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Third
17.10.2
17.317.1
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.5
red by 6.0
1555
#25
11.10.5
12.512.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed