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Red100
492625.3
943115.5
150149.5
Blue49
393613.5
907113.1
102430.0
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107675015010049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+49Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
57Total teleop36
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#3
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
100Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.9
47.248.1
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 19.5
1024
#11
30.01.0
31.330.3
Auto4.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
Second
4926
#22
25.30.8
24.525.3
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End1.3
red by 11.8
3936
#16
13.51.0
14.413.3
Auto1.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
Third
9431
#34
15.50.8
14.815.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
red by 2.4
9071
#28
13.10.9
13.212.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed