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Red141
1033218.1
150149.5
745753.0
Blue74
317618.9
32825.9
217114.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1516905010020025014174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+45Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
22Coral points0
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
93Total teleop61
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#3
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#16
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
141Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.2
51.751.9
Auto10.3
Teleop32.5
End10.1
red by 27.1
328
#13
25.90.1
26.126.0
Auto3.1
Teleop21.2
End1.6
Second
49.50.2
48.148.3
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 30.6
3176
#10
18.90.1
19.119.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End6.8
Third
18.10.2
16.917.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.2
End2.5
red by 3.8
2171
#17
14.30.1
14.514.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.0