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Red51
501035.7
16468.7
548424.2
Blue68
286718.1
672118.5
492625.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916502040801001201401605168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+13
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
8Coral scored#10
28Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
40Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
51Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.6
38.437.9
Auto6.6
Teleop27.2
End1.9
red by 10.5
4926
#22
25.30.1
25.325.4
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End1.3
Second
5484
#23
24.20.6
26.926.3
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End0.4
red by 5.7
18.50.1
18.518.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
Third
1646
#36
8.70.6
11.410.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.4
blue by 9.4
2867
#26
18.10.1
18.118.3
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End2.5