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Red132
1033218.1
150149.5
745753.0
Blue93
13524.9
155511.1
46142.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131865010015020013293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+27Teleop
+45Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave0
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
39Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
69Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#20
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points6
132Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.3
52.052.3
Auto10.3
Teleop32.5
End10.1
red by 10.2
461
#4
42.70.1
43.743.9
Auto9.8
Teleop29.6
End3.3
Second
49.50.4
48.548.8
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 24.6
135
#3
24.90.1
26.026.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End4.6
Third
18.10.3
17.217.5
Auto6.5
Teleop9.2
End2.5
red by 7.1
1555
#25
11.10.1
12.112.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3