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Red29
501035.7
16468.7
548424.2
Blue51
907113.1
4521.8
219719.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8458020401001201401602951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +11
5Coral scored#5
18Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
18Total teleop29
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points8
29Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.9
36.735.7
Auto6.6
Teleop27.2
End1.9
red by 14.0
45
#8
21.80.3
21.921.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End3.1
Second
5484
#23
24.20.9
25.124.2
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End0.4
red by 5.1
2197
#15
19.10.3
19.218.9
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Third
1646
#36
8.70.9
9.68.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.4
blue by 4.5
9071
#28
13.10.3
13.313.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End0.5