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Red94
102430.0
314712.7
82925.5
Blue52
907113.1
4521.8
219719.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8157020401001201401609452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+44Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
62Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points2
94Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#11
30.00.6
30.330.9
Auto4.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
red by 8.2
45
#8
21.80.0
20.920.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End3.1
Second
829
#5
25.50.6
25.926.5
Auto4.6
Teleop18.5
End2.4
red by 6.5
2197
#15
19.10.0
18.218.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Third
3147
#29
12.70.6
13.013.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.5
blue by 0.4
9071
#28
13.10.0
12.312.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End0.5