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Red61
44719.5
393613.5
386517.6
Blue73
907113.1
4521.8
219719.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61613040507080901006173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
8Coral scored#13
27Coral points46
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
45Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
61Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#18
19.50.2
19.319.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.5
blue by 2.2
45
#8
21.80.5
20.921.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End3.1
Second
17.60.2
17.317.6
Auto2.4
Teleop13.1
End2.1
blue by 1.5
2197
#15
19.10.5
18.218.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Third
3936
#16
13.50.3
13.213.5
Auto1.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
red by 0.3
9071
#28
13.10.5
12.312.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.3
End0.5