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Red143
1033218.1
150149.5
745753.0
Blue41
286718.1
672118.5
492625.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13756010015020014341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+64Teleop
+82Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
0Leave6
9Coral scored#1
43Coral points3
43Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
11Coral scored#5
38Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
56Total teleop26
Reef
9L4#2
4L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#8
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +102
20Foul points0
143Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.1
51.952.0
Auto10.3
Teleop32.5
End10.1
red by 27.7
4926
#22
25.30.5
25.425.0
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End1.3
Second
49.50.1
48.348.5
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 31.0
18.50.5
18.618.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
Third
18.10.1
17.117.2
Auto6.5
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Level
2867
#26
18.10.5
18.317.8
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End2.5