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Red68
13524.9
155511.1
46142.7
Blue66
102430.0
314712.7
82925.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977402040601201401606866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points16
24Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
40Total teleop37
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points4
68Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#4
42.70.3
44.143.7
Auto9.8
Teleop29.6
End3.3
red by 12.7
1024
#11
30.00.2
30.930.7
Auto4.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
Second
135
#3
24.90.3
26.326.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End4.6
blue by 0.6
829
#5
25.50.2
26.526.3
Auto4.6
Teleop18.5
End2.4
Third
1555
#25
11.10.3
12.512.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
blue by 1.6
3147
#29
12.70.2
13.613.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.5