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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180135100150200250152177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+13
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
8Coral scored#9
40Coral points45
40Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +2
16Coral scored#23
58Coral points82
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
98Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#11
9L3#10
4L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
152Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
78.90.3
78.778.4
Auto21.0
Teleop48.5
End9.4
red by 18.5
60.41.0
58.859.8
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
Second
65.50.3
65.365.0
Auto16.8
Teleop40.7
End8.0
red by 6.3
59.21.0
57.658.6
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
Third
23.10.3
22.822.5
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
red by 4.8
8430
#24
18.21.0
16.617.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1