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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14610350200133120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+27Teleop
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave0
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points30
47Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
72Total teleop62
Reef
10L4#6
5L3#6
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points2
133Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.0
58.858.8
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
red by 13.6
234
#7
46.90.3
46.546.9
Auto11.5
Teleop28.8
End6.6
Second
59.20.0
57.657.6
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
red by 16.2
43.00.3
42.743.0
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End8.5
Third
8430
#24
18.20.0
16.616.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1
red by 3.9
8564
#26
14.30.3
14.014.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4