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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048750150200106108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
15Coral scored#13
54Coral points45
2Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
12Processor points18
4Net points8
16Algae points26
70Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
106Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
78.90.5
53.353.8
Auto21.0
Teleop48.5
End9.4
red by 18.5
60.41.6
49.651.3
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
Second
7657
#12
29.90.5
26.827.4
Auto6.2
Teleop20.8
End2.9
blue by 0.8
1018
#19
30.81.6
21.823.5
Auto3.1
Teleop24.0
End3.7
Third
8564
#26
14.30.5
17.718.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
red by 2.9
11.41.6
12.013.6
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned