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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710705015093103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
78Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
93Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#21
33.81.9
23.725.6
Auto6.4
Teleop20.2
End7.2
blue by 19.3
53.20.7
44.144.8
Auto12.2
Teleop31.4
End9.6
Second
33.31.9
31.333.2
Auto4.6
Teleop27.1
End1.7
blue by 13.5
234
#7
46.90.7
38.338.9
Auto11.5
Teleop28.8
End6.6
Third
9554
#11
20.71.9
9.811.7
Auto4.6
Teleop15.3
End0.8
red by 3.1
3559
#10
17.60.7
10.411.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned