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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48174010015020025058155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+77
Endgame+97
Fouls+97
AutonomousBlue +22
3Leave3
2Coral scored#7
12Coral points34
15Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +55
7Coral scored#19
25Coral points70
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
0Processor points6
12Net points16
12Algae points22
37Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#11
3L3#5
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +97
0Foul points0
58Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9491
#17
25.80.0
21.521.4
Auto5.9
Teleop19.2
End0.7
blue by 39.7
65.50.4
60.560.9
Auto16.8
Teleop40.7
End8.0
Second
9790
#15
23.60.0
16.616.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.6
End2.8
blue by 35.6
59.20.4
51.952.3
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
Third
4008
#20
22.00.0
17.217.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.5
End3.5
blue by 21.0
43.00.4
34.034.4
Auto10.0
Teleop24.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned