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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716102040801001201405959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+2
+6Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +2
7Coral scored#6
24Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
30Total teleop28
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points12
59Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.0
Auto7.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
blue by 5.4
5188
#18
32.4
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.4
Second
23.1
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
blue by 0.8
2197
#22
23.9
Auto4.6
Teleop16.5
End2.7
Third
8430
#24
18.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1
blue by 5.2
6498
#16
23.5
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed