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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4212101001503096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+66
Endgame+66
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +45
1Coral scored#8
5Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
5Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points0
30Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8116
#23
20.11.3
17.015.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End5.7
blue by 33.0
53.20.6
44.844.2
Auto12.2
Teleop31.4
End9.6
Second
8564
#26
14.31.3
18.217.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End2.4
blue by 32.5
234
#7
46.90.6
38.938.3
Auto11.5
Teleop28.8
End6.6
Third
11.41.3
13.612.3
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 18.6
2867
#14
30.00.6
21.621.0
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned